New Approach
Idea         Fields of Applications
New Results       Solution of Problems

New Approach
The idea of the approach

Particular consideration
(hidden) uncertainties
(noises, fluctuations, measurements' errors, etc.)

Principle of Uncertain Future (simplified)
The principle

The probability of a future event
contains uncertainty.

1. The first consequence of the principle

Suppose we plan to test the probability value, which is equal to 99%.
Suppose the probability uncertainty value is equal to 5%.
Then, evidently, the real mean value of probability cannot be as high as 99%.

High probabilities will decrease.
Phigh real < Phigh planned

Analogously, but considering the second consequence of the principle (see below),

Low probabilities can increase.
Plow real possible > Plow planned

2. The second consequence of the principle

The total probability
of unforeseen future events
is more than 0%

Σ Punforeseen real > 0%


The present total probability
of future events
is less than 100%

Σ Pplanned < 100%


The present probability system
of future events
is incomplete.


Albert Einstein Dmitry Mendeleev Albert Einstein

Isaac Newton:
"If I have seen further it is by standing on ye sholders of Giants."

Werner Heisenberg John Von Neumann Albert Einstein Albert Einstein Albert Einstein

Copyright ® Alexander Harin      
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